Looks like 2024 election is repeat of 2020 (Biden vs Trump) with some differences

LiveLife

Well-known member
New CNN poll shows Biden 43% trailing behind Trump 49% despite the legal trouble factor "baked in" to polls by now with most of support falling from non-white voters compared to 2020 election with discontent expressed by voters in key swing states regarding economy/inflation. This is worst poll of recent polls.

71% disapprove Biden's handling of Israel-Hamas war with 81% disapprove ages from 18 to 34 (Majority of democrats disapprove). Most voters in new poll say "Biden's presidency has been a failure".

Biden is losing support from younger voters as he stands firm with Israel/Netanyahu and protest against Gaza war grows. More telling percentage numbers are Trump's success/failure rating of 55%/44% compared to Biden's 39%/61% with retrospective assessment of Trump's presidency continuing to improve (He was right about the wall, immigration, NATO countries not paying their share, etc.)

Donald Trump continues to hold an advantage over President Joe Biden according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. CNN’s Priscilla Alvarez explains and CNN senior political analyst Ron Brownstein weighs in.

 
Last edited:

LiveLife

Well-known member
New CNN poll shows Biden 43% trailing behind Trump 49%

71% disapprove Biden's handling of Israel-Hamas war with 81% disapprove ages from 18 to 34 (Majority of democrats disapprove). Most voters in new poll say "Biden's presidency has been a failure".
Following latest CNN poll, new Harvard/Harris Poll results express similar voter sentiment.

"... Most important question" ... job approval of Biden 44% and Trump 55% ... indicating "most voters think Trump did a better job as president."​

Forbes: Biden Poll Surge Has Ended And Trump Is Back On Top, Says Top Pollster Mark Penn

Mark Penn, Chairman and CEO of Stagwell Inc and Chairman of the Harris Poll, joins "Forbes Newrsoom" to break down the latest Harvard/Harris Poll showing former President Trump leading President Biden, why Trump is seeing strength he never showed in 2016 and 2020, the ongoing protests on college campuses, and more.​
 
Last edited:

LiveLife

Well-known member
We all already know that "NATIONAL polls/sentiment" DOESN'T MATTER as it's what voters in KEY SWING STATES that will DECIDE the outcome of the presidential election in November.

And DESPITE what EVERYTHING that's been thrown at Trump, he is STILL LEADING in key swing state polls. Just imagine where Trump would be if it wasn't for the endless smear campaign? Makes you wonder. ;)

The Hill: NEW POLL: Trump WINNING In every Swing State

What’s America Thinking host Julia Manchester goes on the record with Decision Desk HQ’s Scott Tranter about the latest in the 2024 presidential race and former President Trump’s criminal cases.​
"We DON'T elect presidents by national popular vote" < By Electoral College, particularly by key swing states, so NATIONAL polling sentiment doesn't matter but KEY SWING STATES polling does matter ;) >​
Jump to 9:05 minute of video for newest key swing state polling adding to CNN and Harvard/Harris polls:
 
Last edited:

LiveLife

Well-known member
Snopes Fact Check: Multiple Polls Say Biden Is Least Popular US President in 70 Years - https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/joe-biden-least-popular-president/

Claim: Public opinion polls released in April 2024 found Joe Biden to be the least popular U.S. president in 70 years.
Rating: True
  • In April 2024, multiple outlets and social media accounts reported that Biden was the least popular president in 70 years
  • Livemint business news site reported on Biden's declining popularity, stating he was the "most unpopular US President in 7 decades."
  • Reddit post repeated the claim
  • New York Post also covered Biden's low approval ratings, stating that, "Biden is the least popular president in 70 years — below even Nixon and Carter"
  • Many of these reports pulled their data from polling analysis by Gallup, which conducted a public survey that found Biden's approval ratings were historically low, making him the least popular U.S. president since Dwight Eisenhower was in office in the 1950s.
  • Gallup Poll: Biden's 13th-quarter approval average was, in fact, the lowest in modern history. The poll, conducted April 1–22, 2024, highlighted a downward trend in Biden's approval since he took office, with only 38.7% of American voters approving of his performance as president - https://web.archive.org/web/2024050...ter-approval-average-lowest-historically.aspx
  • Gallup used an illustrative chart to show how Biden's approval rating compared to other U.S. presidents during their 13th quarter in office - https://web.archive.org/web/2024032...val-ratings-third-year-biden/#google_vignette
  • FiveThirtyEight drew the same conclusions about Biden's unpopularity ... ongoing tracking of Biden's approval rating showed a consistent decline over time, with his May approval rating hovering around 37.8%, lower than that of his recent predecessors.
  • Reuters, in a detailed graphic analysis published April 17, 2024, reported Biden's approval rating stood at 38%, a drop from 40% in March.
  • Market research firm Ipsos reported in March that Biden's approval was at 40%
  • The Hill and The Blaze reported on Biden's historically low approval ratings, corroborating the claim that his "approval rating average is lower than any other president in recent history at the same point in their time in the White House."
Conclusion: Multiple surveys and analysis released in April 2024 by Gallup and other pollsters concluded that Biden was indeed, at the time the polls were taken, the least popular U.S. president in 70 years.
 
Last edited:

LiveLife

Well-known member
Trump leads five out of six key swing states in latest New York Times poll

The Hill: Biden In Deep DENIAL As Trump TROUNCES Him In Critical States

Briahna Joy Gray and Robby Soave discuss new polling on President Joe Biden and former president Donald Trump.​


The Hill: MISSING THE MARK? Biden Struggles With KEY Demographics Before November

What’s America Thinking host Julia Manchester goes on the record with Decision Desk HQ’s Scott Tranter about the latest in the 2024 presidential race and Senate races in key states.​
 
Last edited:

LiveLife

Well-known member
New York Times breaks down their poll results. < It boils down to do voters want four more years of past 3.5 years? ... Big "No" >

"Biden does not represent change. Trump represents change ..."​

NY Times: Voters Want Change. In Our Poll, They See It in Trump.

The latest Times polling shows the extent of the challenge that President Biden faces and the strengths that Donald J. Trump retains. A yearning for change — as well as discontent over the economy and the war in Gaza among young, Black and Hispanic voters — may lie behind both.​
Nate Cohn, our chief political analyst, explains the surveys: New York Times/Siena College polls of Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Nevada and Arizona, and the inaugural Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena poll in Pennsylvania.​
 
Last edited:

LiveLife

Well-known member
This is something ...

Politico: Dems in full-blown "freakout" over BIden - https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/28/democrats-freakout-over-biden-00160047
  • "A pervasive sense of fear has settled in at the highest levels of the Democratic Party over President Joe Biden’s reelection prospects ..."
  • Five months to go, party leaders are anxious and worried about Biden’s prospects ... “You don’t want to be that guy who is on the record saying we’re doomed ..." - Democratic operative in close touch with the White House ... Biden’s stubbornly poor polling ... “are creating the freakout,”
  • Despite everything, Trump is polling better in most battleground states, raised far more money in April, and things could get worse for Democrats, with Trump’s hush-money trial concluding and Hunter Biden's case set to begin in Delaware
  • Trump outraised Biden by $25 million last month and raised record-setting $50.5 million from Palm Beach, Florida event
  • One adviser to major Democratic Party donors provided reasons why Biden could lose ... immigration, high inflation, Biden’s age, unpopularity of Vice President Kamala Harris and the presence of third-party candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. “Donors ask me on an hourly basis about what I think ... so much easier to show them, so while they read it, I can pour a drink ... The list of why we ‘could’ win is so small I don’t even need to keep the list on my phone.”
  • Pete Giangreco ... Democratic strategist ... “If the frame of this race is, ‘What was better, the 3.5 years under Biden or four years under Trump,’ we lose that every day of the week and twice on Sunday.”
  • When trial began, Trump had 0.3-point lead in national polls, according to FiveThirtyEight. Trump is up about a point since then, currently leading Biden by 1.4 points in the FiveThirtyEight average.
 

theotherwaldo

Well-known member
Wow!
We now have a presidential candidate with street cred!!

Trump.jpg
 

LiveLife

Well-known member
According to this report, Trump has narrowed VP picks down to four potential candidates but "Trump is working with ... shortlist that includes more than a half-dozen names. Additions, subtractions and the emergence of dark-horse candidates remain possible" - https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/trumps-vp-search-accelerates-rcna155607
  • North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum
  • Senator Marco Rubio of Florida
  • Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina
  • Senator JD Vance of Ohio
 

LiveLife

Well-known member
New poll the "Gold Standard" poll of Iowa shows Trump leading Biden by double digits in key state of Iowa by 50% to 32%

Fox News Radio host Guy Benson joins 'America's Newsroom' to discuss the latest polling out of Iowa showing former President Trump outpolling Biden by 18 points.​
"Biden should assume the polls are right, not wrong"​


BAD NEWS for Biden, Trump WINNING among overall voters: Latest NY Times polls

Robby Soave and Michael Starr Hopkins discuss the latest on Joe Biden and Donald Trump's polling numbers.​

 
Last edited:

LiveLife

Well-known member
CNN Data Reporter "Speechless" By New Donald Trump-Joe Biden Poll: "Holy Cow, Folks!" - https://www.yahoo.com/news/cnn-data-reporter-speechless-donald-065504319.html
  • There was shock on CNN at how former President Donald Trump is faring in polling among Black voters
  • Senior political data reporter was “speechless” at Trump’s surge from around 7% support in 2020 to 21% now - compared with Biden’s plummet from 86% to 70%
  • “I keep looking for signs that this is going to go back to normal and I don’t see it yet in the polling of anything ... We’re careening towards a historic performance for Republican presidential candidate, the likes of which we have not seen in six decades.”
  • Trump appears to have made particular inroads with younger Black voters ... “Look at Black voters under the age of 50. Holy cow, folks! Holy cow!”
 
Top